ST · pick 222 — first ever specialist at #222 (2003)

ST·pick 222

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #222

Josh Brown

Drafted by SEA — GM Mike Holmgren · Nebraska

2003

STs drafted at #222 in NFL history

most recent: Thomas Fletcher (CAR, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a specialist at #222 a 2.3% chance in 2003.

Specialist at #222, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#217SCurry BurnsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#218RBMalaefou MacKenzieJAX — GM James Harris
#219OGJustin BatesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#220CBBlue AdamsDET — GM Matt Millen
#221WRKeenan HowryMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#223TETrent SmithBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#224WRTaco WallaceSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#225OGTodd WilliamsTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#226WRWalter YoungCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#227DEClint MitchellDEN — GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Thomas FletcherCAR — GM Scott Fitterer · Alabama
2009Pat McAfeeIND — GM Bill Polian · West Virginia

→ see this cell on the full chart