ST · pick 221 — first ever specialist at #221 (2010)

ST·pick 221

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Matt Dodge

Drafted by NYG — GM Jerry Reese · East Carolina

2010

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a specialist at #221 a 2.9% chance in 2010.

Specialist at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.4% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

#216OTKyle CallowayBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#217LBDekoda WatsonTB — GM Mark Dominik
#218OTJ'Marcus WebbCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#219WRTerrence AustinWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#220LBJamar ChaneyPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#222WRMarc MarianiTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#223CBR.J. StanfordCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#224CBPhillip AdamsSF — GM Trent Baalke
#225CBSyd'Quan ThompsonDEN — GM Brian Xanders
#226DEGeorge SelvieLAR — GM Billy Devaney

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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