Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 217

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #217

Brad Robbins

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Michigan

2023

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2022, the model gave a specialist at #217 a 3.5% chance in 2023.

Specialist at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.3% 2023: 3.5%

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 2023 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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