ST · pick 209 — first ever specialist at #209 (2024)

ST·pick 209

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #209

Joshua Karty

Drafted by LAR — GM Les Snead · Stanford

2024

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2023, the model gave a specialist at #209 a 3.5% chance in 2024.

Specialist at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.9% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 2024 draft

#204OGTylan GrableBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#205RBJawhar JordanHOU — GM Nick Caserio
#206LBNathaniel WatsonCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#207OTMichael JerrellSEA — GM John Schneider
#208RBDylan LaubeLV — GM Tom Telesco
#210OGChristian MahoganyDET — GM Brad Holmes
#211CBKamal HaddenKC — GM Brett Veach
#212STCam LittleJAX — GM Trent Baalke
#213WRJordan WhittingtonLAR — GM Les Snead
#214DECedric JohnsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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