ST · pick 207 — first ever specialist at #207 (2012)

ST·pick 207

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #207

Brad Nortman

Drafted by CAR — GM Marty Hurney · Wisconsin

2012

STs drafted at #207 in NFL history

most recent: Anders Carlson (GB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a specialist at #207 a 2.3% chance in 2012.

Specialist at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.9% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#202RBTerrance GanawayNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#203OGRobert GriffinNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#204LBEmmanuel AchoCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#205DTBilly WinnCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#206WRLaVon BrazillIND — GM Ryan Grigson
#208OGJustin AndersonIND — GM Ryan Grigson
#209LBAaron BrownLAR — GM Les Snead
#210LBAudie ColeMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#211DEScott SolomonTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#212RBMichael SmithTB — GM Mark Dominik

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Anders CarlsonGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Auburn

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