ST · pick 203 — first ever specialist at #203 (2006)

ST·pick 203

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #203

Sam Koch

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Nebraska

2006

STs drafted at #203 in NFL history

most recent: Will Reichard (MIN, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a specialist at #203 a 2.4% chance in 2006.

Specialist at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.7% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#198CGreg EslingerDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#199OTCharlie JohnsonIND — GM Bill Polian
#200OGTyler ReedCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#201CMarvin PhilipPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#202TET.J. WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#204DTLaJuan RamseyPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#205OGDan StevensonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#206DTLe Kevin SmithNE — GM Bill Belichick
#207SAntoine BetheaIND — GM Bill Polian
#208CBDerrick MartinBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2024Will ReichardMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah · Alabama

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