ST·pick 199
1967–present, every common draft.
The best kicker who ever lived, taken at the 199th pick. The ST row stays nearly white through round 1 in any era, then clusters here — late 100s through 200s, the kicker / punter / LS belt that's existed as long as the draft has.
The model gives a 2.95% chance this becomes a draftigami in the 2027 draft.
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 8.6% · 2027 model: 3.1%