ST · pick 194 — first ever specialist at #194 (2002)

ST·pick 194

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #194

Craig Jarrett

Drafted by SEA — GM Mike Holmgren · Michigan St.

2002

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a specialist at #194 a 2.2% chance in 2002.

Specialist at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.4% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#189SKeyon NashLV — GM Al Davis era
#190DTHoward GreenHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#191TEJeb PutzierDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#192OTReggie ColemanWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#193DEJohn StamperTB — GM Rich McKay
#195CBLamont BrightfulBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#196TEJohn GilmoreNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#197RBLarry NedLV — GM Al Davis era
#198LBTyreo HarrisonPHI — GM Andy Reid
#199RBAdrian PetersonCHI — GM Jerry Angelo

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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