ST · pick 190 — first ever specialist at #190 (1990)

ST·pick 190

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #190

Kent Elmore

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw · Tennessee

1990

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1989, the model gave a specialist at #190 a 3.6% chance in 1990.

Specialist at #190, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.2% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 1990 draft

#185OGJoe StaysniakLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#186DELester ArchambeauGB — GM Tom Braatz
#187WRNate LewisLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#188LBJohn LevelisMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#189OTTerry StroufPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#191RBAaron EmanuelNYG — GM George Young
#192TEShannon SharpeDEN — GM John Beake
#193CBKeith CollinsLAC — GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart