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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 185

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #185

Larry Swider

Drafted by DEN · Pittsburgh

1977

2
STs drafted at #185 in NFL history
most recent: Blake Ferguson (MIA, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a specialist at #185 a 2.0% chance in 1977.

Specialist at #185, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.1% 1977: 2.0%

Peak: 8.1% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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