ST · pick 181 — first ever specialist at #181 (1983)

ST·pick 181

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #181

Mike Black

Drafted by DET — GM Russ Thomas · Arizona St.

1983

STs drafted at #181 in NFL history

most recent: Jeff Hall (WAS, 1999)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a specialist at #181 a 2.7% chance in 1983.

Specialist at #181, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.9% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#176WRRocky BelkCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#177LBSam MerrimanSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#178CBPerry WilliamsNYG — GM George Young
#179RBDaryl PoseyKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#180DTGurnest BrownBUF — GM Stew Barber
#182OGJon SchultheisPHI — GM Jim Murray
#184CCarlos ScottARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#185RBWeldon LedbetterTB — GM Phil Krueger
#186CBCarl LeeMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#187RBCraig JamesNE — GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1999Jeff HallWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Tennessee

→ see this cell on the full chart