ST · pick 179 — first ever specialist at #179 (2016)

ST·pick 179

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #179

Drew Kaser

Drafted by LAC — GM Tom Telesco · Texas A&M

2016

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a specialist at #179 a 2.0% chance in 2016.

Specialist at #179, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.8% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

#174OTFahn CooperSF — GM Trent Baalke
#175LBJatavis BrownLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#176RBAndy JanovichDEN — GM John Elway
#177TETemarrick HemingwayLAR — GM Les Snead
#178CBD.J. WhiteKC — GM John Dorsey
#180WRMoritz BoehringerMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#181LBTyrone HolmesJAX — GM David Caldwell
#182RBKeenan ReynoldsBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#183LBDevante BondTB — GM Jason Licht
#184TEJerell AdamsNYG — GM Jerry Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart