ST · pick 173 — first ever specialist at #173 (1967)

ST·pick 173

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #173

David Conway

Drafted by LAC · Texas

1967 · earliest year in the data window

STs drafted at #173 in NFL history

most recent: Johnny Townsend (LV, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Specialist at #173, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 2.4%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#168QBBruce MatteWAS
#169WRJohn TruittCHI
#170SMilt JacksonSF
#171OGJohn ElliottNYJ
#172WRJohn LoveWAS
#174SJohn WilliamsPHI
#175STJoe RandallARI
#176DTRon LewellenLV
#177OTBill HouseCLE
#178OGBob CrenshawPHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Johnny TownsendLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Florida

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