ST · pick 17 — first ever specialist at #17 (2000)

ST·pick 17

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #17

Sebastian Janikowski

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis era · Florida St.

2000

Editor's note

Sebastian Janikowski, Raiders, 2000

A kicker, 17th overall. Al Davis at his Al-Davisest. Still the only specialist anywhere near the top of the chart, in any draft since 1967.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a specialist at #17 a 1.2% chance in 2000.

Specialist at #17, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.6% · 2027 model: 0.3%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#12DEShaun EllisNYJ — GM Dick Haley
#13DEJohn AbrahamNYJ — GM Dick Haley
#14TEBubba FranksGB — GM Ron Wolf
#15CBDeltha O'NealDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#16LBJulian PetersonSF — GM Bill Walsh
#18QBChad PenningtonNYJ — GM Dick Haley
#19RBShaun AlexanderSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#20OTStockar McDougleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#21WRSylvester MorrisKC — GM Carl Peterson
#22OTChris McIntoshSEA — GM Mike Holmgren

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart