ST · pick 169 — first ever specialist at #169 (1974)

ST·pick 169

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #169

Efrén Herrera

Drafted by DET · UCLA

1974

STs drafted at #169 in NFL history

most recent: Neil Rackers (CIN, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a specialist at #169 a 2.0% chance in 1974.

Specialist at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 2.3%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#164WRCarl SwiercMIA
#165OTSitterle, AllenAllen SitterlePIT
#166RBKermit JohnsonSF
#167DECullars, WillieWillie CullarsPHI
#168OTPurvis, BartBart PurvisGB
#170LBDan DickelIND
#171OTGerry SullivanCLE
#172DEHegge, LeroyLeroy HeggeKC
#173OTJim CoodeATL
#174WRFreddie ScottIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2000Neil RackersCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Illinois

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