ST · pick 167 — first ever specialist at #167 (1983)

ST·pick 167

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #167

Reggie Roby

Drafted by MIA — GM Don Shula · Iowa

1983

STs drafted at #167 in NFL history

most recent: Daniel Carlson (MIN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a specialist at #167 a 2.7% chance in 1983.

Specialist at #167, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 2.3%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#162QBReggie CollierDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#163RBVincent WhiteNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#164SEric WilliamsPIT — GM Dick Haley
#165RBLarry KinnebrewCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#166OTBob WincklerWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#168QBBabe LaufenbergWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#169RBAlvin MooreIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#170WRHerkie WallsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#171WRJeff SimmonsLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#172CBMyron DupreeDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Daniel CarlsonMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Auburn

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