ST · pick 166 — first ever specialist at #166 (1980)

ST·pick 166

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #166

Eddie Murray

Drafted by DET — GM Russ Thomas · Tulane

1980

STs drafted at #166 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Cardona (NE, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a specialist at #166 a 2.3% chance in 1980.

Specialist at #166, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 2.2%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

#161OTGreg MurthaPHI — GM Jim Murray
#162RBTimmy NewsomeDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#163LBWayne HamiltonLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#164RBLarry HeaterKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#165OTTunch IlkinPIT — GM Dick Haley
#167LBRon SimpkinsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#168DTGary Don JohnsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#169OTBuddy AydeletteGB — GM Bart Starr
#170DEWes RobertsIND — GM Dick Szymanski
#171LBBen ApunaARI — GM Bill Bidwill

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2015Joe CardonaNE — GM Bill Belichick · Navy
2013Caleb SturgisMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Florida

→ see this cell on the full chart