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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 165

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #165

Matt Bahr

Drafted by PIT · Penn State

1979

3
STs drafted at #165 in NFL history
most recent: Bradley Pinion (SF, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a specialist at #165 a 2.2% chance in 1979.

Specialist at #165, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.4% 1979: 2.2%

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 2.2%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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