ST · pick 164 — first ever specialist at #164 (2009)

ST·pick 164

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Thomas Morstead

Drafted by NO — GM Mickey Loomis · SMU

2009

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a specialist at #164 a 2.3% chance in 2009.

Specialist at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.3% · 2027 model: 2.2%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

#159OTFenuki TupouPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#160WRBrooks FosterLAR — GM Billy Devaney
#161TEJohn NalboneMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#162OTJamon MeredithGB — GM Ted Thompson
#163OGDuke RobinsonCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#165SChris ClemonsMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#166SMichael HamlinDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#167OTHerman JohnsonARI — GM Rod Graves
#168CBJoe BurnettPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#169RBFrank SummersPIT — GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart