ST · pick 163 — first ever specialist at #163 (2019)

ST·pick 163

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #163

Jake Bailey

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Stanford

2019

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2018, the model gave a specialist at #163 a 2.1% chance in 2019.

Specialist at #163, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.3% · 2027 model: 2.2%

Surrounding picks · 2019 draft

#158CBMichael JacksonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#159DTByron CowartNE — GM Bill Belichick
#160DTDaylon MackBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#161DECharles OmenihuHOU — GM Bill O'Brien
#162LBCameron SmithMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#164LBE.J. SpeedIND — GM Chris Ballard
#165DEJoe JacksonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#166QBEaston StickLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#167QBClayton ThorsonPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#168LBD'Andre WalkerTEN — GM Jon Robinson

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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