ST · pick 161 — first ever specialist at #161 (2012)

ST·pick 161

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #161

Randy Bullock

Drafted by HOU — GM Rick Smith · Texas A&M

2012

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a specialist at #161 a 1.9% chance in 2012.

Specialist at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.2% · 2027 model: 2.1%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#156CBShaun PraterCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#157RBBradie EwingATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#158DEJack CrawfordLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#159RBChris RaineyPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#160OGRyan MillerCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#162SCorey WhiteNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#163LBTerrell ManningGB — GM Ted Thompson
#164DEJonathan MassaquoiATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#165LBDarius FlemingSF — GM Trent Baalke
#166WRMarvin JonesCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart