ST · pick 159 — first ever specialist at #159 (2020)

ST·pick 159

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #159

Justin Rohrwasser

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Marshall

2020

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a specialist at #159 a 2.0% chance in 2020.

Specialist at #159, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.2% · 2027 model: 2.1%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

#154DEJason StrowbridgeMIA — GM Chris Grier
#155DETrevis GipsonCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#156CKeith IsmaelWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#157SDaniel ThomasJAX — GM David Caldwell
#158CBBryce HallNYJ — GM Joe Douglas
#160CNick HarrisCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#161WRTyler JohnsonTB — GM Jason Licht
#162LBKhaleke HudsonWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#163CBKindle VildorCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#164DECurtis WeaverMIA — GM Chris Grier

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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