ST · pick 153 — first ever specialist at #153 (2017)

ST·pick 153

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Jake Elliott

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Memphis

2017

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a specialist at #153 a 1.7% chance in 2017.

Specialist at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.0% · 2027 model: 1.9%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#148LBBlair BrownJAX — GM David Caldwell
#149CBDamontae KazeeATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#150TEJordan LeggettNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan
#151SDesmond KingLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#152CBCorn ElderCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#154TEJeremy SprinkleWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#155LBJayon BrownTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#156RBBrian HillATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#157OTWill HoldenARI — GM Steve Keim
#158CBNate HairstonIND — GM Chris Ballard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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