ST · pick 150 — first ever specialist at #150 (2010)

ST·pick 150

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #150

Zoltan Mesko

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Michigan

2010

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a specialist at #150 a 2.2% chance in 2010.

Specialist at #150, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.9% · 2027 model: 1.9%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

#145CBNolan CarrollMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#146DTCam ThomasLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#147OGMitch PetrusNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#148SRobert JohnsonTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#149DEHall DavisLAR — GM Billy Devaney
#151OGChris ScottPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#152OTOtis HudsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#153DEAusten LaneJAX — GM Gene Smith
#154TEAndrew QuarlessGB — GM Ted Thompson
#155QBJohn SkeltonARI — GM Rod Graves

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart