ST · pick 15 — first ever specialist at #15 (1978)

ST·pick 15

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #15

Steve Little

Drafted by ARI · Arkansas

1978

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a specialist at #15 a 0.97% chance in 1978.

Specialist at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 4.7% · 2027 model: 0.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#10OTGordon KingNYG
#11CBLuther BradleyDET
#12LBClay MatthewsCLE
#13OTMike KennATL
#14WRJohn JeffersonLAC
#16CBlair BushCIN
#17QBDoug WilliamsTB
#18OGBob CryderNE
#19SKen GreeneARI
#20RBElvis PeacockLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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