ST · pick 149 — first ever specialist at #149 (2003)

ST·pick 149

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #149

Mike Scifres

Drafted by LAC — GM A.J. Smith · Western Illinois

2003

STs drafted at #149 in NFL history

most recent: Evan McPherson (CIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a specialist at #149 a 2.1% chance in 2003.

Specialist at #149, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.8% · 2027 model: 1.9%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#144LBJames DavisDET — GM Matt Millen
#145DTKindal MooreheadCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#146DTAubrayo FranklinBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#147DTJames LeeGB — GM Mike Sherman
#148RBDan CurleyLAR — GM Charley Armey
#150DEMatt WaltersNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#151OTBen SobieskiBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#152CBMichael LehanCLE — GM Butch Davis
#153OTJordan BlackKC — GM Carl Peterson
#154SDonnie NickeyTEN — GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Evan McPhersonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Florida
2018Michael DicksonSEA — GM John Schneider · Texas

→ see this cell on the full chart