Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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ST·pick 147

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #147

Cliff Parsley

Drafted by NO · Oklahoma State

1977

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a specialist at #147 a 2.0% chance in 1977.

Specialist at #147, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.8% 1977: 2.0%

Peak: 6.8% · 2027 model: 1.8%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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