ST · pick 138 — first ever specialist at #138 (1985)

ST·pick 138

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #138

Lee Johnson

Drafted by TEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · BYU

1985

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a specialist at #138 a 2.7% chance in 1985.

Specialist at #138, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 1.6%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#133LBFrank BushTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#134WRTony SmithNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#135RBDan ReederLV — GM Al Davis
#136LBCam JacobsPIT — GM Dick Haley
#137RBJohnnie JonesSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#139OGBilly HinsonDEN — GM John Beake
#140OGBruce CollieSF — GM John McVay
#141DEMike HambyBUF — GM Bill Polian
#142QBSteve BonoMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#143QBRusty HilgerLV — GM Al Davis

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart