ST · pick 137 — first ever specialist at #137 (2004)

ST·pick 137

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #137

Josh Scobee

Drafted by JAX — GM James Harris · Louisiana Tech

2004

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a specialist at #137 a 2.0% chance in 2004.

Specialist at #137, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 1.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#132OTAdrian JonesNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#133DEDave BallLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#134WRJohnnie MorantLV — GM Al Davis era
#135DEAntonio SmithARI — GM Rod Graves
#136SGibril WilsonNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#138OGJacob BellTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#139DTRodney LeisleNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#140LBAlex LewisDET — GM Matt Millen
#141OGJake ScottIND — GM Bill Polian
#142DTChad LavalaisATL — GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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