ST · pick 130 — first ever specialist at #130 (2022)

ST·pick 130

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #130

Jordan Stout

Drafted by BAL — GM Eric DeCosta · Penn St.

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a specialist at #130 a 1.6% chance in 2022.

Specialist at #130, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.2% · 2027 model: 1.5%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#125WRErik EzukanmaMIA — GM Chris Grier
#126DTNeil FarrellLV — GM Dave Ziegler
#127RBPierre StrongNE — GM Bill Belichick
#128TECharlie KolarBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#129TEJake FergusonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#131RBHassan HaskinsTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#132WRRomeo DoubsGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#133STJake CamardaTB — GM Jason Licht
#134OGSpencer BurfordSF — GM John Lynch
#135CBJoshua WilliamsKC — GM Brett Veach

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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