ST · pick 121 — first ever specialist at #121 (1986)

ST·pick 121

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #121

Ray Criswell

Drafted by PHI — GM Harry Gamble · Florida

1986

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a specialist at #121 a 2.7% chance in 1986.

Specialist at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.0% · 2027 model: 1.3%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#116DEJeff TupperARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#117DTScott KellarIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#118LBDoug LandryLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#119RBOscar SmithDET — GM Russ Thomas
#120WRHassan JonesMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#122CBErroll TuckerPIT — GM Dick Haley
#123LBLeon WhiteCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#124CGary WalkerIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#125DEMatt KoartGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#126RBBobby Joe EdmondsSEA — GM Mike McCormack

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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