ST · pick 118 — first ever specialist at #118 (2006)

ST·pick 118

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #118

Stephen Gostkowski

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Memphis

2006

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a specialist at #118 a 2.0% chance in 2006.

Specialist at #118, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.9% · 2027 model: 1.2%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#113DEVictor AdeyanjuLAR — GM Jay Zygmunt
#114OTJoe ToledoMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#115SWill BlackmonGB — GM Ted Thompson
#116LBStephen TullochTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#117RBLeon WashingtonNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#119WRBrandon MarshallDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#120LBJamar WilliamsCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#121SNate SalleyCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#122CBAlan ZemaitisTB — GM Bruce Allen
#123DTDomata PekoCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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