ST · pick 109 — first ever specialist at #109 (2002)

ST·pick 109

FIRST ST EVER DRAFTED AT #109

Travis Dorsch

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Purdue

2002

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a specialist at #109 a 1.8% chance in 2002.

Specialist at #109, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.6% · 2027 model: 1.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#104DEAlex BrownCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#105CBBrian WilliamsMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#106LBDavid ThorntonIND — GM Bill Polian
#107RBOmar EasyKC — GM Carl Peterson
#108QBDavid GarrardJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#110CBMike EcholsTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#111LBBen TaylorCLE — GM Butch Davis
#112STDave ZastudilBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#113DTNate DwyerARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#114TERandy McMichaelMIA — GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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