ST·pick 103
No specialist has ever been drafted at #103
1967–present, every common draft.
How likely is this to become a draftigami?
The model gives a 0.82% chance this becomes a draftigami in the 2027 draft.
Specialist at #103, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 5.5% · 2027 model: 1.0%