S · pick 97 — first ever safety at #97 (1967)

S·pick 97

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #97

Mike Barnes

Drafted by ARI · Arlington State

1967 · earliest year in the data window

safeties drafted at #97 in NFL history

most recent: Kerby Joseph (DET, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #97, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#92CBJulian GrayNYJ
#93RBTravis WilliamsGB
#94RBDickie PostLAC
#95STom GreenleeCHI
#96WRJames Roy JacksonLV
#98OTJoe TaffoniCLE
#99WRChuck HughesPHI
#100RBCharlie StukesIND
#101DEEd PhilpottNE
#102OTGary BugenhagenBUF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2022Kerby JosephDET — GM Brad Holmes · Illinois
2006Eric SmithNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum · Michigan St.
2002Coy WireBUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Stanford
1985Anthony TuggleCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Nicholls St.
1983Vince NewsomeLAR — GM Don Klosterman · Washington
1982Rick WoodsPIT — GM Dick Haley · Boise St.

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