S · pick 90 — first ever safety at #90 (1983)

S·pick 90

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #90

Tom Holmoe

Drafted by SF — GM John McVay · BYU

1983

safeties drafted at #90 in NFL history

most recent: Kayvon Webster (DEN, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #90 a 6.1% chance in 1983.

Safety at #90, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.5% · 2027 model: 4.8%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#85WRPhil SmithIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#86CBGreg HillTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#87STChuck NelsonLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#88TEMike McCloskeyTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#89RBMichael WilliamsPHI — GM Jim Murray
#91OGTom ThayerCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#92TERon WetzelKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#93TETrey JunkinBUF — GM Stew Barber
#94LBAugust CurleyDET — GM Russ Thomas
#95CBDanny WaltersLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2013Kayvon WebsterDEN — GM John Elway · South Florida
1984Mark RobinsonKC — GM Jim Schaaf · Penn St.

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