S · pick 86 — first ever safety at #86 (1974)

S·pick 86

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #86

Mike Townsend

Drafted by MIN · Notre Dame

1974

safeties drafted at #86 in NFL history

most recent: Tom Zbikowski (BAL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a safety at #86 a 6.8% chance in 1974.

Safety at #86, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.5% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#81WRHarrison DavisLAC
#82WRJohn StallworthPIT
#83WRClint HaslerigSF
#84SBell, TonyTony BellIND
#85SDurwood KeetonARI
#87QBMike BorylaCIN
#88RBRod McNeillNO
#89LBFrank LeMasterPHI
#90RBSammy JohnsonSF
#91WRIke HarrisARI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2008Tom ZbikowskiBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Notre Dame
1978Maurice HarveyLV · Ball State

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