S · pick 75 — first ever safety at #75 (1986)

S·pick 75

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #75

Alvin Walton

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · Kansas

1986

safeties drafted at #75 in NFL history

most recent: Major Wright (CHI, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a safety at #75 a 8.5% chance in 1986.

Safety at #75, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.6% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#70OTJeff WalkerLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#71QBHugh MillenLAR — GM John Shaw
#72QBRobbie BoscoGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#73DEJohn WashingtonNYG — GM George Young
#74DTMark WalenDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#76WRJohn TaylorSF — GM John McVay
#77CLeonard BurtonBUF — GM Bill Polian
#78SDavid FulcherCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#79LBTim CrawfordNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#80CBBrad CochranLV — GM Al Davis

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Major WrightCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Florida
2008Reggie SmithSF — GM Scot McCloughan · Oklahoma

→ see this cell on the full chart