S · pick 7 — first ever safety at #7 (1992)

S·pick 7

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #7

Troy Vincent

Drafted by MIA — GM Don Shula · Wisconsin

1992

safeties drafted at #7 in NFL history

most recent: Mark Barron (TB, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1991, the model gave a safety at #7 a 5.8% chance in 1992.

Safety at #7, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1992 draft

#2LBQuentin CoryattIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#3DTSean GilbertLAR — GM John Shaw
#4WRDesmond HowardWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#5CBTerrell BuckleyGB — GM Ron Wolf
#6QBDavid KlinglerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#8OTBob WhitfieldATL — GM Ken Herock
#9RBTommy VardellCLE — GM Bill Belichick
#10OTRay RobertsSEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring
#11OTLeon SearcyPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#12DEMarco ColemanMIA — GM Don Shula

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2012Mark BarronTB — GM Mark Dominik · Alabama
2006Michael HuffLV — GM Al Davis era · Texas

→ see this cell on the full chart