S · pick 63 — first ever safety at #63 (1971)

S·pick 63

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #63

Dave Elmendorf

Drafted by LAR · Texas A&M

1971

safeties drafted at #63 in NFL history

most recent: Juan Thornhill (KC, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a safety at #63 a 5.8% chance in 1971.

Safety at #63, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.8% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#58SChris FarasopoulosNYJ
#59QBLeo HartATL
#60RBSteve DavisPIT
#61WRLivesay, JamesJames LivesayARI
#62CBCharlie HallGB
#64DETony McGeeCHI
#65RBMike MontgomeryLAC
#66WRPaul StarobaCLE
#67QBKen AndersonCIN
#68LBCharlie HallCLE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2019Juan ThornhillKC — GM Brett Veach · Virginia
1984Rod McSwainATL — GM Tom Braatz · Clemson

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