S · pick 58 — first ever safety at #58 (1971)

S·pick 58

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Chris Farasopoulos

Drafted by NYJ · BYU

1971

safeties drafted at #58 in NFL history

most recent: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (CLE, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a safety at #58 a 5.7% chance in 1971.

Safety at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.0% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#53CBruce JarvisBUF
#54CBBivian LeeNO
#55WRDickerson, SamSam DickersonSF
#56QBLynn DickeyTEN
#57RBJim BraxtonBUF
#59QBLeo HartATL
#60RBSteve DavisPIT
#61WRLivesay, JamesJames LivesayARI
#62CBCharlie HallGB
#63SDave ElmendorfLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2026Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenCLE · Toledo
2024Javon BullardGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Georgia
2003Mike DossIND — GM Bill Polian · Ohio St.
2002Michael LewisPHI — GM Andy Reid · Colorado
2000Travares TillmanBUF — GM John Butler · Georgia Tech
1997Kim HerringBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Penn St.
1996Reggie TongueKC — GM Carl Peterson · Oregon St.
1985Tyrone DavisNYG — GM George Young · Clemson

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