S · pick 56 — first ever safety at #56 (1973)

S·pick 56

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #56

Brad Dusek

Drafted by NE · Texas A&M

1973

safeties drafted at #56 in NFL history

most recent: Obi Melifonwu (LV, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a safety at #56 a 6.4% chance in 1973.

Safety at #56, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.1% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#51DESteve BaumgartnerNO
#52CChuck BradleyMIA
#53DEHarvey MartinDAL
#54OGPaul HowardDEN
#55SRandy LoganPHI
#57QBJoe FergusonBUF
#58TEBrady, JohnJohn BradyDET
#59OGFred SturtARI
#60OTTim StokesLAR
#61RBBill OldsIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2017Obi MelifonwuLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Connecticut
2004Madieu WilliamsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Maryland
2001Tony DixonDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Alabama
1997Mike MinterCAR — GM Bill Polian · Nebraska

→ see this cell on the full chart