S · pick 53 — first ever safety at #53 (1983)

S·pick 53

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #53

Ray Horton

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Washington

1983

safeties drafted at #53 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Boulware (SEA, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #53 a 5.0% chance in 1983.

Safety at #53, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#48OGDave DrechslerGB — GM Bart Starr
#49RBRoger CraigSF — GM John McVay
#50LBMike WalterDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#51RBJohnny HectorNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#52WRWayne CapersPIT — GM Dick Haley
#54DTBill PickelLV — GM Al Davis
#55DTMike CharlesMIA — GM Don Shula
#56RBRichard WilliamsWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#57DTGeorge AchicaIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#58LBTim JoinerTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2004Michael BoulwareSEA — GM Mike Holmgren · Florida St.
1990Eric DavisSF — GM John McVay · Jacksonville St.
1986Greg LaskerNYG — GM George Young · Arkansas

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