S · pick 51 — first ever safety at #51 (2005)

S·pick 51

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #51

Nick Collins

Drafted by GB — GM Ted Thompson · Bethune-Cookman

2005

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a safety at #51 a 10.4% chance in 2005.

Safety at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#46DEMatt RothMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#47STMike NugentNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#48LBOdell ThurmanCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#49OGMarcus JohnsonMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#50CBRon BartellLAR — GM Charley Armey
#52OTKhalif BarnesJAX — GM James Harris
#53DEDan CodyBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#54RBEric SheltonCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#55WRRoscoe ParrishBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#56CBDarrent WilliamsDEN — GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart