S · pick 50 — first ever safety at #50 (1974)

S·pick 50

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #50

Bill Simpson

Drafted by LAR · Michigan State

1974

safeties drafted at #50 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Evans (TB, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a safety at #50 a 6.1% chance in 1974.

Safety at #50, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 3.9%

🟣 Unassigned DBs at pick #50

A defensive back was drafted at this pick whose CB-vs-S couldn't be confirmed (raw position label "DB" only). With further research one of these picks may turn out to be the actual draftigami at this cell.

1975Loft, GlennGlenn LoftBUF · Drake
1973Ken PharesPIT · Mississippi State

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#45TEDave CasperLV
#46LBJack LambertPIT
#47RBBenny MaloneMIA
#48RBCharlie DavisCIN
#49RBDelvin WilliamsSF
#51LBMatt BlairMIN
#52CBJeris WhiteMIA
#53QBDanny WhiteDAL
#54WRWayne WheelerCHI
#55DERick DvorakNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2017Justin EvansTB — GM Jason Licht · Texas A&M
2011Marcus GilchristLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Clemson
1997Mike LoganJAX — GM Tom Coughlin · West Virginia

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