S · pick 49 — first ever safety at #49 (1981)

S·pick 49

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #49

Chris Williams

Drafted by BUF — GM Stew Barber · LSU

1981

safeties drafted at #49 in NFL history

most recent: Taylor Mays (SF, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a safety at #49 a 4.6% chance in 1981.

Safety at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#44CBAnthony WashingtonPIT — GM Dick Haley
#45LBRobin SendleinMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#46DECurtis GreenDET — GM Russ Thomas
#47RBTony CollinsNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#48DEHowie LongLV — GM Al Davis
#50WRByron FranklinBUF — GM Stew Barber
#51LBRickey JacksonNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#52RBJarvis RedwineMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#53WRDoug DonleyDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#54LBLyman WhiteATL — GM Eddie LeBaron

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2010Taylor MaysSF — GM Trent Baalke · USC
1997Torrian GrayMIN — GM Frank Gilliam · Virginia Tech
1994Toby WrightLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Nebraska
1990Pat TerrellLAR — GM John Shaw · Notre Dame

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