S · pick 48 — first ever safety at #48 (1984)

S·pick 48

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #48

Chris Rockins

Drafted by CLE — GM Art Modell/staff · Oklahoma St.

1984

safeties drafted at #48 in NFL history

most recent: Jaquan Brisker (CHI, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a safety at #48 a 5.4% chance in 1984.

Safety at #48, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#43LBEd WilliamsNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#44LBRon RiveraCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#45OGDoug DawsonARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#46DEAndre TownsendDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#47WRPete MandleyDET — GM Russ Thomas
#49WRDaryl TurnerSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#50WRBruce DavisCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#51DESean JonesLV — GM Al Davis
#52TEChris KolodziejskiPIT — GM Dick Haley
#53LBJay BrophyMIA — GM Don Shula

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2022Jaquan BriskerCHI — GM Ryan Poles · Penn St.
2012Tavon WilsonNE — GM Bill Belichick · Illinois
2009Darcel McBathDEN — GM Brian Xanders · Texas Tech
2006Cedric GriffinMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Texas
1991Jesse CampbellPHI — GM Harry Gamble · North Carolina St.
1990LeRoy ButlerGB — GM Tom Braatz · Florida St.
1988Quintin JonesTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Pittsburgh

→ see this cell on the full chart