S · pick 45 — first ever safety at #45 (1967)

S·pick 45

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #45

Rick Volk

Drafted by IND · Michigan

1967 · earliest year in the data window

safeties drafted at #45 in NFL history

most recent: Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.4% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#40LBRon McCallLAC
#41WRDave DunawayGB
#42TEJim LeMoineBUF
#43DEBob RoweARI
#44OGJohn BrooksPHI
#46RBLarry ConjarCLE
#47LBJim LynchKC
#48CBBob HowardLAC
#49RBRoy HopkinsTEN
#50LBWillie LanierKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2020Antoine Winfield Jr.TB — GM Jason Licht · Minnesota
2011Rahim MooreDEN — GM John Elway · UCLA
2002Tank WilliamsTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Stanford
2000Kenoy KennedyDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Arkansas
1975Charlie PhillipsLV · USC

→ see this cell on the full chart