S · pick 43 — first ever safety at #43 (1976)

S·pick 43

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #43

Kurt Knoff

Drafted by DEN · Kansas

1976

safeties drafted at #43 in NFL history

most recent: Tre'von Moehrig (LV, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a safety at #43 a 5.3% chance in 1976.

Safety at #43, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#38OGGlenn BujnochCIN
#39CBPat ThomasLAR
#40RBJim JensenDAL
#41DTCliff FrazierKC
#42CRandy CrossSF
#44OGKen LongDET
#45OGKen JonesBUF
#46TEDavid HillDET
#47QBMike KruczekPIT
#48TEMike BarberTEN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2021Tre'von MoehrigLV — GM Mike Mayock · TCU
2008Tyrell JohnsonMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Arkansas St.
2006Roman HarperNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Alabama
2000Rogers BeckettLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · Marshall
1998Artrell HawkinsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Cincinnati
1995Melvin JohnsonTB — GM Rich McKay · Kentucky

→ see this cell on the full chart