S · pick 41 — first ever safety at #41 (1970)

S·pick 41

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #41

Al Matthews

Drafted by GB · Texas A&I

1970

safeties drafted at #41 in NFL history

most recent: Lamarcus Joyner (LAR, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a safety at #41 a 6.4% chance in 1970.

Safety at #41, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#36DEJoe JonesCLE
#37DEAlden RocheDEN
#38OGChuck HutchisonARI
#39RBArt MaloneATL
#40RBBill DusenberyTEN
#42DTTom WilliamsLAC
#43DTBill BrundigeWAS
#44DTJim BaileyIND
#45OTRay ParsonDET
#46WRRich CasterNYJ

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2014Lamarcus JoynerLAR — GM Les Snead · Florida St.
2009Darius ButlerNE — GM Bill Belichick · Connecticut
2002Lamont ThompsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Washington St.
1991Jerome HendersonNE — GM Sam Jankovich · Clemson
1980Dave WaymerNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff · Notre Dame

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